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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Juventus

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
1 : 0
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Juventus April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.23 / X 3.83 / 2 1.73
  • 1X2 market: Parma 18.6% / X 25.3% / Juventus 56.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 18.6%
X 25.3%
2 56.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Parma - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.83 market consensus · line only
1 5.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 2.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.23 19.1%
X 3.83 26.1%
1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.22 45.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.91 25.6%
1.29 77.5%
Match center
Parma
D D D D D
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 JuventusJuventus
27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 Empoli
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 ComoComo
0 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Juventus
W D D D W
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 LecceLecce
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:2 ParmaParma
27.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:4 InterInter
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 LazioLazio
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Juventus

Parma
1 matches total
Juventus
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 30.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (30.10 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:2
Juventus