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Serie A
Serie A Italy
01.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
01.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Juventus

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
1 : 4
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Juventus February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.73 / X 4.68 / 2 1.38
  • 1X2 market: Parma 10.9% / X 20.4% / Juventus 68.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 10.9%
X 20.3%
2 68.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.39 market consensus · line only
X 4.68 market consensus · line only
1 8.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 3.00 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
9.22 10.9%
X 4.73 21.1%
1.40 71.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.80 11.4% 8.40 11.9% 8.80 11.4% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 9.75 10.3%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.80 20.8% 4.88 20.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7%
1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
Match center
Parma
L D D W L
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:4 AtalantaAtalanta
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
11.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 LecceLecce
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 InterInter
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Juventus
W L W W D
25.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 NapoliNapoli
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 CagliariCagliari
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 5:0 CremoneseCremonese
06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 SassuoloSassuolo
03.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 LecceLecce
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Juventus

Parma
3 matches total
Juventus
Parma: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Juventus: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Juventus 0:2 (24.08 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 30.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (30.10 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma
0:2
Juventus
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma
1:0
Juventus
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:2
Juventus