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Serie A Italy

38 round 24.05.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

24.05.2026 13:00 UTC 38 round

Finished

Serie A

Parma - Sassuolo

Italy Football

Parma

1 : 0

Finished

Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Sassuolo May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.76 / X 3.20 / 2 2.61
1X2 market: Parma 34.3% / X 29.5% / Sassuolo 36.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 34.2%

X 29.5%

2 36.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 48.4%

Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Ennio Tardini (Parma, Italy), 17 369 zriteley (81% pri vmestimosti 21 473)

Referee Nikkolo Turrini

Start 24.05.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Parma - Sassuolo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Parma - Sassuolo, 24 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 38 round. Parma - Sassuolo, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.10 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

2 2.61 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.11 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.22 Fonbet · line only

X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.08 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.78 36.0%	2.90 34.5%	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.80 35.7%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.29 30.4%	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%
	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.42 70.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5	1.33 75.2%	1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.39 71.9%
Over 2.0	—	1.51 66.2%
Over 2.25	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 2.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Over 3.5	3.40 29.4%	—
Over 4.5	6.50 15.4%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.25 30.8%	—
Under 2.5	1.80 55.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.30 76.9%	—
Under 4.5	1.10 90.9%	—

Match center

Parma

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sassuolo

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Adrian Bernabe Yakob Ondreyka Gaetano Oristanio Matiya Frigan Nesta Elfezh Filippo Rinaldi Benkha Kremaski Gabriel Strefezza Travmirovannye Edoardo Peranolo Fali Kande Daniel Boloka Sebastyan Valyukevich Aster Vranks Filippo Romanya Derril Bakolya

Match center

Parma

L L L W W

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:1 Como

10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 2:3 AS Roma

03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:2 Inter

25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:0 Pisa

18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:0 Udinese

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Sassuolo

L L W D W

17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 2:3 Lecce

08.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 1:2 Torino

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 2:0 AC Milan

26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 0:0 Fiorentina

17.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Sassuolo 2:1 Como

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Sassuolo

Parma

1 matches total

Sassuolo

Parma: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Sassuolo: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 03.01 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (03.01 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.01 14:00 UTC

Serie A

Parma

1:1

Sassuolo

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Parma

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Sassuolo

37 Games 37

10 Wins 14

12 Draws 7

15 Losses 16

27 Scored 46

46 Conceded 49

42 Points 49

81.7 Attacks 85.94

37.68 Dangerous attacks 37.57

0 Big chances 0

9.97 Shots on goal 10.54

2.68 Shots on target 3.81

iya 0.11 Goly Mateo Pelegrino Pontus Almkvist 1:0 80' Nakazaniya Sasha Brichgi 7' Kristian Torstvedt 18' Tommazo Makkoni 21' Lautaro Valenti 30'

Parma Sassuolo 37 Games 37 10 Wins 14 12 Draws 7 15 Losses 16 27 Scored 46 Conceded 49 42 Points 49 81.7 Attacks 85.94 37.68 Dangerous attacks 37.57 0 Big chances 0 9.97 Shots on goal 10.54 2.68 Udary v stvor 3.81 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.95 Uglovye 3.84 1.32 Offsaydy 1.76 10.81 Foly 11.86 43.92 % vladeniya myachom 46.11 1.59 Warnings 2.16 0.14 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Mateo Pelegrino Pontus Almkvist 1:0 80' Nakazaniya Sasha Brichgi 7' Kristian Torstvedt 18' Tommazo Makkoni 21' Lautaro Valenti 30'