Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Udinese

Italy Futbol
Parma
Parma
0 : 2
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Udinese 29 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 3.01 / 2 2.82
  • 1X2 market: Parma 34.9% / X 31.5% / Udinese 33.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 34.9%
X 31.5%
2 33.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.85 35.1%
Х 3.01 33.2%
П2 2.90 34.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.66 37.6% 2.72 36.8% 2.81 35.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.14 31.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.92 34.3%
П2 2.84 35.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Parma
W D L L D
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:3 BolognaBologna
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Udinese
L L W L W
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 BolognaBologna
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
01.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 JuventusJuventus
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 LecceLecce
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Udinese

Parma
1 matches total
Udinese
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Udinese: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Udinese 2:3 (16.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 16.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:3
Udinese