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Serie A
Serie A Italy
13.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
13.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - AC Milan

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
1 : 2
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - AC Milan February 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.91 / X 3.89 / 2 1.54
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 13.8% / X 24.5% / AC Milan 61.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 13.8%
X 24.5%
2 61.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Pisa - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 6.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.04 14.2%
X 3.99 25.1%
1.56 64.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.80 14.7% 7.10 14.1% 7.06 14.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.04 24.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.31 43.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.40 41.7% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0%
Match center
Pisa
D L L D D
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:6 InterInter
16.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
AC Milan
W D W W D
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 BolognaBologna
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 LecceLecce
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:1 ComoComo
11.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - AC Milan

Pisa
1 matches total
AC Milan
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
AC Milan: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 24.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (24.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa
2:2
AC Milan