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Serie A
Serie A Italy
16.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
16.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Atalanta

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
1 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Atalanta January 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.41 / X 4.07 / 2 1.54
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 14.9% / X 23.4% / Atalanta 61.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 14.8%
X 23.4%
2 61.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.54 market consensus · line only
X 4.08 market consensus · line only
1 6.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.72 14.9%
X 4.20 23.8%
1.54 64.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.61 15.1% 5.50 18.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.27 23.4% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1%
1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.50 40.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.53 39.5%
Match center
Pisa
D L D L D
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 UdineseUdinese
06.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:3 ComoComo
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 GenoaGenoa
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 JuventusJuventus
21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 CagliariCagliari
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Atalanta
W W W L W
10.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 TorinoTorino
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 BolognaBologna
03.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:1 InterInter
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 GenoaGenoa
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Atalanta

Pisa
1 matches total
Atalanta
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 24.08 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (24.08 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa
1:1
Atalanta