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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.10.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Pisa - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Pisa
Pisa
0 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pisa - Hellas Verona October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pisa.

Line favourite market consensus: Pisa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.99 / 2 3.06
  • 1X2 market: Pisa 36.3% / X 32.2% / Hellas Verona 31.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 36.3%
X 32.2%
2 31.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5 38.2%
Under 2.5 61.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Pisa - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.69 37.2%
X 2.95 33.9%
3.16 31.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.63 38.0% 2.69 37.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.69 37.2%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.04 32.9% 2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9%
3.05 32.8% 3.12 32.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.16 31.7% 3.16 31.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Pisa
L D L L L
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:4 BolognaBologna
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 UdineseUdinese
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Hellas Verona
L L D D L
03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 JuventusJuventus
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 LazioLazio
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPisa - Hellas Verona

Pisa
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history