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Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.10.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - AS Roma

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - AS Roma October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.40 / X 3.48 / 2 1.89
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 21.8% / X 27.5% / AS Roma 50.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 21.8%
X 27.5%
2 50.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 4.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.94 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.62 21.7%
X 3.57 28.0%
1.88 53.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.95 25.3% 4.55 22.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0% 4.33 23.1%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.63 27.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3%
1.96 51.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Sassuolo
D W W L W
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:0 LecceLecce
03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 UdineseUdinese
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 InterInter
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 LazioLazio
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
AS Roma
L W W W L
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 LazioLazio
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - AS Roma

Sassuolo
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history