AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~46% confidence Low best odds 2.08

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Atalanta

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Sassuolo go head-to-head with Atalanta on March 1, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sassuolo 4-0-1, Atalanta 4-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Atalanta, an implied 46% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Atalanta March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.66 / X 3.37 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 26.0% / X 28.2% / Atalanta 45.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1% 13 books · best price +2.9%
1 25.8%
X 28.2%
2 46.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 26.0% @ 3.66 / X 28.2% @ 3.37 / 2 45.8% @ 2.08
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Match center

Sassuolo - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 3.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.81 26.3%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.12 47.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Sassuolo
W W L W W
20.02 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
15.02 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 2:1 UdinezeUdineze
08.02 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 0:5 InterInter
31.01 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 3:1 PisaPisa
25.01 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Atalanta
W W W D W
22.02 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:1 NapoliNapoli
14.02 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 LatsioLatsio
09.02 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
01.02 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:0 KomoKomo
25.01 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 4:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Sassuolo - Atalanta

Sassuolo
1 matches total
Atalanta
Sassuolo: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Sassuolo 3:0 (09.11 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 09.11 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

09.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo
3:0
Atalanta

Frequently asked questions

When does Sassuolo vs Atalanta start?

March 1, 2026.