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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.01.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
25.01.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Cremonese

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1 : 0
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Cremonese January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.21 / 2 3.94
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 46.2% / X 29.6% / Cremonese 24.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 46.2%
X 29.6%
2 24.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.78 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.10 47.6%
X 3.21 31.2%
4.16 24.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
3.95 25.3% 3.85 26.0% 4.14 24.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Sassuolo
L L L D D
17.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 NapoliNapoli
10.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:3 JuventusJuventus
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:1 ParmaParma
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:1 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Cremonese
D L D L L
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:5 JuventusJuventus
08.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:2 CagliariCagliari
04.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Cremonese

Sassuolo
1 matches total
Cremonese
Sassuolo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cremonese: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cremonese 2:3 (29.08 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 29.08 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo
2:3
Cremonese