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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.01.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Parma

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Parma January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.27 / 2 4.18
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 48.0% / X 29.2% / Parma 22.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 48.0%
X 29.2%
2 22.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.00 50.0%
X 3.29 30.4%
4.43 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.97 50.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.09 47.9% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.20 31.3%
4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Sassuolo
D L D W L
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:1 BolognaBologna
21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 TorinoTorino
14.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
06.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Parma
W L W L W
27.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
13.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LazioLazio
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 PisaPisa
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 UdineseUdinese
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Parma

Sassuolo
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history