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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
24.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Pisa

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
2 : 2
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Pisa November 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.13 / 2 3.97
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 45.8% / X 30.3% / Pisa 23.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 45.8%
X 30.3%
2 23.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.86 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.09 47.9%
X 3.22 31.1%
4.17 24.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.09 24.5% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Sassuolo
W L W L D
09.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 AtalantaAtalanta
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 GenoaGenoa
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 CagliariCagliari
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:0 LecceLecce
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Pisa
W D D D D
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 TorinoTorino
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 LazioLazio
24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Pisa

Sassuolo
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history