Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Torino?

By the PropickAI model, Sassuolo is favoured — about 42% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Sassuolo vs Torino?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Sassuolo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Sassuolo vs Torino?

Live odds for Sassuolo vs Torino from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Sassuolo win probability ~42% best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Sassuolo. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.

Get Full Access →

Serie A Italy

29.08.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

29.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Sassuolo vs Torino — Football prediction

Italy Football

Stadium Mapei

Referee Davide Di Marco, Vittorio di Dzhoya

Sassuolo

2 : 1

Finished

Torino

Sassuolo host Torino in football, in Serie A, on 29 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Sassuolo: roughly 42% to win. Sportsbook prices (6 books) put that result at roughly 42%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 29%.

Latest form: Sassuolo 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost; Torino 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost. Glicko ratings: Sassuolo 1529, Torino 1486, a gap of 43 points. The two have met 2 times lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 43 Glicko rating points, the model's 42% for Sassuolo. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sassuolo — 42%

1 · Sassuolo41.8%

X · draw29.0%

2 · Torino29.2%

Model estimate: win Sassuolo 41.8%, draw 29.0%, win Torino 29.2%. Model favourite — Sassuolo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Sassuolo or draw 1.17

Model confidence 77% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sassuolo (odds2.27) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.78) ✗ Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.62) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct

• liniya na pik P1 2.40→2.30 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Sassuolo: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.27)
• edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.78)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.62).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Torino August 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.70 / 2 3.30
Glicko: Sassuolo 41.8% / X 29.0% / Torino 29.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 5 books · best price +2.6%

1 41.7%

X 29.2%

2 29.2%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 2.50 6 books

Over 2.50 46.5%

Under 2.50 53.5%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.40 ↓ 2.30

1X2 X 3.35 ↓ 3.25

1X2 2 3.05 ↑ 3.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie A

League table

Sassuolo

#130 ptsGP 10-0-11:2

Torino

#140 ptsGP 10-0-11:2

Best price across 13 books

1 2.35 Pinnacle

X 3.42 1xBet

2 3.38 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Sassuolo

W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.19 Conceded 1.33 xG 1.08 xGA 1.63 Corners 3.2

Torino

W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.29 Conceded 1.52 xG 1.02 xGA 1.47 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

P. Pellegri — Knee Injury S. Walukiewicz — Muscle Injury Fali Candé — Knee Injury F. Israel — Shoulder Injury Y. Paz — Knee Injury F. Anjorin — Hip Injury C. Casadei — Rest D. Boloca — Muscle Injury I. Koné — Broken Leg E. Pieragnolo — Knee Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)

Sassuolo

Rating 1477 xG 1.34 Win 41%

Torino

Rating 1443 xG 1.13 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Sassuolo

42%

2.33

Draw

29%

5.70

Torino

29%

52.00

Handicap

Sassuolo (0)

59%

1.62

Torino (0)

41%

2.45

Total

Over 27.5

48%

1.48

Under 27.5

52%

1.38

Both teams to score

Yes

42%

4.30

58%

2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

SassuoloTorino

7' Goal Sassuolo
11' Goal Torino
15' Goal Torino
18' Goal Torino
23' Yellow card Torino
24' Goal Torino
28' Goal Sassuolo
32' Goal Sassuolo
32' Goal Sassuolo
38' Goal Torino
40' Yellow card Sassuolo
41' Goal Sassuolo
45' Goal Torino
45' Goal Torino
47' Yellow card Sassuolo
50' Goal Torino
52' Goal Torino
55' Goal Torino
57' Goal Sassuolo
60' Substitution Sassuolo
60' Substitution Sassuolo
61' Substitution Sassuolo
65' Goal Torino
68' Substitution Torino
68' Substitution Torino
68' Goal Torino
70' Yellow card Sassuolo
73' Substitution Sassuolo
73' Substitution Torino
73' Substitution Torino
78' Goal Sassuolo
78' Goal Sassuolo
83' Substitution Torino
90' Substitution Sassuolo
90' Goal Sassuolo
90' Goal Torino

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sassuolo 1 : 1 Torino

12.36

X3.36

23.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →

Participant opinions

934 predictions Choose an outcome

1 40% 381

X 43% 405

2 15% 148

Match center

Stadium Mapei

Start 29.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Market 1 67.4% @ 1.01 / X 11.9% @ 5.70 / 2 20.6% @ 3.30

Referee Davide Di Marco, Vittorio di Dzhoya

Weather +30°C solnechno

Broadcasts MATCh! Football 1, MEGOGO

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Draw 43%

📐 Math model Sassuolo 42%

💹 Market Sassuolo 42%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

My virtual bank & leaderboard →

Match center

Sassuolo - Torino

Sassuolo: win 2.25 Sassuolo: draw 3.25 Torino win: 3.30 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.73 Individualnyy Total goals Sassuolo Over 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy Total goals Sassuolo Under 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy Total goals Torino Over…

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 41.8% fact: home hit / ROI 133.0% / Brier 0.507 / LogLoss 0.871

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 41.8% fact: home hit / ROI 133.0% / Brier 0.507 / LogLoss 0.871

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sassuolo 41.6% 41.8% market and model agree

Draw 29.3% 29.0% draw risk

Torino 29.1% 29.2%

xG - 1.34 : 1.13

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 41.8% / 29.0% / 29.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,529 / 1,486 Sassuolo / Torino

RD 104 / 101 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,322-1,736 / 1,284-1,688 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.23 market consensus · no value · model 29.2%

X 5.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 41.8%

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 71.0%

1X 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%

X2 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 58.2%

Handicap

2 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only

2 0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	2.10 47.6%	1.96 51.0%	1.96 51.0%	1.97 50.8%
yes	1.75 57.1%	4.30 23.3%	4.30 23.3%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%	1.13 88.5%	1.45 69.0%	1.45 69.0%
1x	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.17 85.5%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%
x2	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	13.00 7.7%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.92 34.3%
X	2.09 47.9%
	3.86 25.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.95 51.3%
Under 1	1.76 56.8%

Match center

4-3-3 3-4-2-1

49 Aryanet Murich

3 Dzhosh Doyg

16 F. Leysen

21 Dzhey Idzes

46 Simone Chinkvegrano

17 Vasilie Adzhich

18 Nemanya Matich

50 D. Bakola

7 Kristian Volpato

9 Kiron Boui

45 Arman Loryante

26 Diego Maskardi

5 Eray Dzhemert

15 Petro Komutstso

23 Saul Koko

10 Nikola Vlashich

19 Chi Adams

28 Kian Fitts-Dzhim

29 Nikkolo Fortini

66 Gvidas Gineytis

77 Alessio Kachchamani

18 Dzhovanni Simeone

Sassuolo

Formation 4-3-3

Probable starting lineup

49 AM Aryanet Murich

Aryanet Murich

3 DD Dzhosh Doyg

Dzhosh Doyg

16 FL F. Leysen

F. Leysen

21 DI Dzhey Idzes

Dzhey Idzes

46 SC Simone Chinkvegrano

17 VA Vasilie Adzhich

Vasilie Adzhich

18 NM Nemanya Matich

Nemanya Matich

50 DB D. Bakola

D. Bakola

7 KV Kristian Volpato

Kristian Volpato

9 KB Kiron Boui

Kiron Boui

45 AL Arman Loryante

Arman Loryante

Head coach Alberto Akvilani

Torino

Formation 3-4-2-1

Probable starting lineup

26 DM Diego Maskardi

Diego Maskardi

5 ED Eray Dzhemert

Eray Dzhemert

15 PK Petro Komutstso

Petro Komutstso

23 SK Saul Koko

Saul Koko

10 NV Nikola Vlashich

Nikola Vlashich

19 CA Chi Adams

Chi Adams

28 KF Kian Fitts-Dzhim

Kian Fitts-Dzhim

29 NF Nikkolo Fortini

Nikkolo Fortini

66 GG Gvidas Gineytis

Gvidas Gineytis

77 AK Alessio Kachchamani

Alessio Kachchamani

18 DS Dzhovanni Simeone

Dzhovanni Simeone

Head coach Inyatsio Abate

Sassuolo

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Torino

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 4-3-3 / 3-4-2-1

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

13 Goals 13

1.3 Per match 1.3

2 Wins 6

1 Draws 1

7 Losses 3

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-2-3, avg 2.14 gls

2026-08-29 · Sassuolo 2:1 Torino

2026-05-08 · Sassuolo 1:2 Torino

2025-12-21 · Sassuolo 0:1 Torino

2024-02-10 · Sassuolo 1:1 Torino

2023-11-06 · Sassuolo 1:2 Torino

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.25 (Pari) · X 3.5 (Liga Stavok) · 2 3.3 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.25	3.35	3.3
Winline	2.25	3.4	3.2
Fonbet	2.25	3.35	3.3
Betcity	2.25	3.3	3.3
Liga Stavok	2.17	3.5	3.3

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

46% Ball possession 54%

19 Vsego udarov 10

7 Shots on target 4

6 Shots off target 2

2 Udary ot vorot 6

6 Blokirovannye udary 4

9 Shtrafnye 12

4 Corners 3

5 Offsides 0

26 Auty 10

3 Saves 5

12 Fouls 9

3 Cards total 1

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

0 Travmy 0

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Sassuolo

L W L L D

2026-08-23 Serie A 26/27

Sassuolo Atalanta 2:1 Sassuolo

2026-08-17 Coppa Italia 26/27

Sassuolo Sassuolo 3:0 Cesena

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sassuolo Augsburg 3:2 Sassuolo

2026-08-05 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sassuolo Sassuolo 1:4 Celta

2026-07-31 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sassuolo Sassuolo 0:0 Caratese

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Torino

L W D W L

2026-08-23 Serie A 26/27

Torino 1:2 Milan Torino

2026-08-15 Coppa Italia 26/27

Torino 1:0 Carrarese Torino

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Avellino 1:1 Torino Torino

2026-08-02 Club Friendly Games 2026

Burnley 0:1 Torino Torino

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Torino 0:1 Cittadella Torino

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Sassuolo - Torino

Sassuolo

3 matches total

Torino

Sassuolo: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Torino: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Torino 2:1 (2026-05-08) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-05-08) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (2024-02-10) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-05-08 Serie A 26/27

Torino 2:1 Sassuolo

2025-12-21 Serie A 26/27

Sassuolo 0:1 Torino

2024-02-10 Serie A 26/27

Sassuolo 1:1 Torino

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Sassuolo

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Torino

Matches in history 30

Biggest draw 3:3

Highest-scoring match 5:3

Seriya A 24 / 4 / 9 / 11 / 27 / 38

Seriya B 6 / 2 / 1 / 3 / 6 / 9

Sassuolo vs Torino — Football prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Torino August 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Model O/U (market-implied)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Match timeline

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Sassuolo - Torino

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions