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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.09.2025 10:30 UTC Match prediction
28.09.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Sassuolo - Udinese

Italy Football
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
3 : 1
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sassuolo - Udinese September 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.12 / 2 3.09
  • 1X2 market: Sassuolo 38.8% / X 30.5% / Udinese 30.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 38.8%
X 30.5%
2 30.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 10:30 UTC
Match center

Sassuolo - Udinese

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.51 39.8%
X 3.15 31.8%
3.21 31.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Sassuolo
L W L L
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 InterInter
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 LazioLazio
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:3 CremoneseCremonese
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Udinese
L W W D L
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 PisaPisa
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:1 InterInter
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Udinese

Sassuolo
0 matches total
Udinese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history