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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Atalanta

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
0 : 3
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Atalanta September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.41 / X 3.22 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Torino 27.9% / X 29.5% / Atalanta 42.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 27.9%
X 29.6%
2 42.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.0%
Under 2.5 55.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Torino - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.22 market consensus · line only
1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.54 28.3%
X 3.25 30.8%
2.29 43.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3%
2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Torino
W D L L L
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:5 InterInter
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:1 LecceLecce
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Atalanta
W D D L W
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:1 LecceLecce
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 ParmaParma
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 PisaPisa
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 ParmaParma
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Atalanta

Torino
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history