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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Bologna

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
1 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Bologna February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.14 / 2 2.45
  • 1X2 market: Torino 31.0% / X 30.2% / Bologna 38.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 31.0%
X 30.3%
2 38.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Torino - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 3.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.20 31.3%
X 3.21 31.2%
2.48 40.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.05 32.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.23 31.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Torino
D W L L L
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 LecceLecce
24.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:6 ComoComo
18.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
10.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Bologna
L L L L W
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 ParmaParma
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 GenoaGenoa
18.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Bologna

Torino
1 matches total
Bologna
Torino: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (29.10 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino
0:0
Bologna