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Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.10.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Genoa

Italy Football
Torino
Torino
2 : 1
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Genoa October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Line favourite market consensus: Torino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 2.93 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Torino 39.9% / X 32.6% / Genoa 27.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 39.9%
X 32.6%
2 27.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 35.3%
Under 2.5 64.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Torino - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · line only
X 2.93 market consensus · line only
1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 2.96 33.8%
3.57 28.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.98 33.6% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.80 35.7%
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.71 58.5% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Torino
W D L L W
18.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 NapoliNapoli
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 3:3 LazioLazio
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 ParmaParma
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Genoa
D L L L D
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
20.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 BolognaBologna
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 ComoComo
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Genoa

Torino
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history