Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Lecce

Italy Futbol
Udinese
Udinese
3 : 2
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Lecce 25 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.22 / 2 4.56
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 49.3% / X 29.7% / Lecce 21.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 49.3%
X 29.7%
2 21.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.0%
Under 2.5 58.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.99 50.3%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 4.77 21.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.66 21.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Udinese
D D L L W
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 CagliariCagliari
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 PisaPisa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Lecce
D W D L L
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 SassuoloSassuolo
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 ParmaParma
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:2 BolognaBologna
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:2 CagliariCagliari
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:4 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Lecce

Udinese
1 matches total
Lecce
Udinese: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Udinese 1:0 (05.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 05.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese
1:0
Lecce