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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.02.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
15.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 2
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Sassuolo February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 2.97 / 2 3.08
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 37.4% / X 31.8% / Sassuolo 30.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 37.4%
X 31.9%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · line only
X 2.98 market consensus · line only
1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.05 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.61 38.3%
X 3.06 32.7%
3.15 31.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%
X 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.06 32.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3%
3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Udinese
L W W L D
08.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 LecceLecce
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
26.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
17.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 InterInter
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:2 PisaPisa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Sassuolo
L W W L L
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:5 InterInter
31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 PisaPisa
25.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
17.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 NapoliNapoli
10.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Sassuolo

Udinese
1 matches total
Sassuolo
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sassuolo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sassuolo 1:3 (28.09 10:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 28.09 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese
1:3
Sassuolo