AI verdict

AI pick Fiorentina win probability ~54% best odds 1.80

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Fiorentina. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina vs Parma — Football prediction

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Fiorentina take on Parma on April 13, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 3-1-0, Parma 0-5-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Fiorentina, an implied 54% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Parma April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.70 / 2 4.90
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 53.9% / X 26.2% / Parma 19.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 53.9%
X 26.2%
2 19.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 53.9% @ 1.80 / X 26.2% @ 3.70 / 2 19.8% @ 4.90
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Match center

Fiorentina - Parma

Form 4/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.80 55.6%
X 3.70 27.0%
4.90 20.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.61 27.7%
Match center
Fiorentina
D W W W
05.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 2:2 MilanMilan
31.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 1:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
27.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 5:1 RomaRoma
20.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 6:0 LechcheLechche
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Parma
D D D D D
05.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Parma 2:2 YuventusYuventus
27.10 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Parma 1:1 Empoli
19.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 1:1 KomoKomo
06.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 0:0 BolonyaBolonya
0 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Fiorentina - Parma

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Fiorentina vs Parma?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Fiorentina. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fiorentina vs Parma?

Live odds for Fiorentina vs Parma from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Fiorentina vs Parma start?

April 13, 2025.