AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AC Milan. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Serie A
Genoa vs AC Milan — Football prediction
Genoa meet AC Milan on May 5, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Genoa 1-1-3, AC Milan 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards AC Milan, an implied 56% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Genoa - AC Milan May 5, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.04 / X 3.94 / 2 1.73
- 1X2 market: Genoa 19.3% / X 24.6% / AC Milan 56.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Genoa - AC Milan
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 5.04 19.8% | |
| X | 3.94 25.4% |
| 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 2.25 44.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.06 48.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.80 26.3% | |
| 1.30 76.9% |
Genoa
Komo
Latsio
Hellas Verona
Udineze
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Venetsiya
Atalanta
Udineze
Fiorentina
Napoli
Full head-to-head history: Genoa - AC Milan
Match history
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The Genoa - AC Milan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
What does PropickAI predict for Genoa vs AC Milan?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to AC Milan. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Genoa vs AC Milan?
Live odds for Genoa vs AC Milan from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Genoa vs AC Milan start?
May 5, 2025.