AI verdict

AI pick Hellas Verona win probability ~37% confidence Low best odds 2.65

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Hellas Verona. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Lecce

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
1 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Hellas Verona face Lecce on May 11, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hellas Verona 0-2-3, Lecce 0-2-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Hellas Verona, an implied 37% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Lecce May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.88 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 36.7% / X 33.8% / Lecce 29.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 36.7%
X 33.8%
2 29.5%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 36.7% @ 2.65 / X 33.8% @ 2.88 / 2 29.5% @ 3.30
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Match center

Hellas Verona - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · line only
X 2.88 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.46 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.65 37.7%
X 2.88 34.7%
3.30 30.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.46 68.5%
home_draw 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 1.5 2.62 38.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.74 57.5%
2.17 46.1%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L L L D D
03.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:1 InterInter
28.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:2 KalyariKalyari
19.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:1 RomaRoma
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
06.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:1 TorinoTorino
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Lecce
L D L L D
03.05 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
27.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
19.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:3 KomoKomo
12.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 1:2 YuventusYuventus
06.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 1:1 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Hellas Verona - Lecce

Hellas Verona
1 matches total
Lecce
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lechche 0:1 (29.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 29.10 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
0:1
Lechche

Frequently asked questions

When does Hellas Verona vs Lecce start?

May 11, 2025.