AI verdict

AI pick Lazio win probability ~69% confidence High best odds 1.39

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lazio. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio vs Parma — Football prediction

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 2
Finished
Parma
Parma

Lazio go head-to-head with Parma on April 28, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lazio 3-1-0, Parma 1-3-0. The market favourite is Lazio at roughly 69%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Parma April 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.99 / 2 8.52
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 69.4% / X 19.3% / Parma 11.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 69.4%
X 19.3%
2 11.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.39 / X 19.3% @ 4.99 / 2 11.3% @ 8.52
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Match center

Lazio - Parma

Form 4/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
X 4.99 20.0%
8.52 11.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.21 31.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.13 88.5%
6.94 14.4%
Match center
Lazio
W D W W
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 2:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
13.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:1 RomaRoma
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 5:1 KomoKomo
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
Parma
W D D D
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Parma 1:0 YuventusYuventus
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
27.10 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Parma 1:1 Empoli
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lazio - Parma

Lazio
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lazio vs Parma?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lazio. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lazio vs Parma?

Live odds for Lazio vs Parma from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lazio vs Parma start?

April 28, 2025.