AI verdict

AI pick Lecce win probability ~50% best odds 1.90

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lecce. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.05.2026 18:45 UTC 38 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Genoa

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
1 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Lecce go head-to-head with Genoa on May 24, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lecce 2-2-1, Genoa 1-2-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Lecce at roughly 50%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Lecce or draw 1.01

Model confidence 79% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Genoa May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.

Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.26 / 2 4.47
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 49.8% / X 29.0% / Genoa 21.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 14 books · best price +6.8%
1 49.5%
X 29.2%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 39.1%
Under 2.5 60.9%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Ettore Dzhardinero — Via Del Mare (Lechche, Italy), 27 825 zriteley (82% pri vmestimosti 33 876)
Referee Daniele Doveri (Rim)
Start 24.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 49.8% @ 1.90 / X 29.0% @ 3.26 / 2 21.2% @ 4.47
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Lecce - Genoa

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Lechche - Dzhenoa, 24 maya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 38-y Round. Lechche - Dzhenoa, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 4.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
4.10 24.4% 4.43 22.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.25 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.5 1.48 67.6% 1.47 68.0%
Over 1.75 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.0 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.25 2.28 43.9%
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 1.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Lecce
MB Medon Berisha pz
RS Rikkardo Sottil np
Genoa
ZhM Zhunior Messyas np
MK Maksvell Korne np
LE Leo Estigor zsch
ZhO Zhan Onana Diskvalifitsirovannye pz
VO Vitor Oliveyra CHAMP np
Match center
Lecce
W L W D D
17.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 3:2 SassuoloSassuolo
09.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:1 YuventusYuventus
01.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 2:1 PisaPisa
25.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
20.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Genoa
L D D L W
17.05 10:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 1:2 MilanMilan
10.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
02.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
26.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:2 KomoKomo
19.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 2:1 PisaPisa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lecce - Genoa

Lecce
1 matches total
Genoa
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (23.08 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Lechche
0:0
Dzhenoa
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lecce
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Genoa
Lecce Team comparison Genoa
37 Games 37
9 Wins 10
8 Draws 11
20 Losses 16
27 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
35 Points 41
92 Attacks 89.03
39.11 Dangerous attacks 36.08
0 Big chances 0
9.49 Shots on goal 11.03
2.49 Shots on target 3.76
aleniya 0.08 Goly Lamek Banda Santyago Perotti 1:0 6' Nakazaniya Yulber Ramadani 45' Tyagu Gabriel 76'

Lechche Dzhenoa 37 Games 37 9 Wins 10 8 Draws 11 20 Losses 16 27 Scored 41 50 Conceded 50 35 Points 41 92 Attacks 89.03 39.11 Dangerous attacks 36.08 0 Big chances 0 9.49 Shots on goal 11.03 2.49 Udary v stvor 3.76 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.38 Uglovye 3.62 1.16 Offsaydy 1.27 12.7 Foly 12.46 41.81 % vladeniya myachom 48.08 1.78 Warnings 1.68 0.05 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Lamek Banda Santyago Perotti 1:0 6' Nakazaniya Yulber Ramadani 45' Tyagu Gabriel 76'

Frequently asked questions

When does Lecce vs Genoa start?

May 24, 2026.