AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Parma. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
04.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match prediction
Serie A
Parma go head-to-head with Lecce on October 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Parma 1-2-2, Lecce 0-2-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Parma, an implied 49% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Double chance — Parma or draw 1.24
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match markets| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.99 50.3% | |
| X | 3.36 29.8% |
| 4.37 22.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.47 28.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.34 23.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.35 23.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.01 49.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.80 55.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
Parma
Torino
Cremonese
Kalyari
Atalanta
Yuventus
Lecce
Bolonya
Kalyari
Atalanta
Milan
Dzhenoa
Full head-to-head history: Parma - Lecce
Seriya A
The Parma - Lecce breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
October 4, 2025.
