AI verdict

AI pick Udinese win probability ~45% best odds 2.13

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Udinese. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.10.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese vs Cagliari — Football prediction

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Udinese take on Cagliari on October 5, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Udinese 2-1-2, Cagliari 2-1-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Udinese, an implied 45% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance Udinese or draw 1.28

Model confidence 75% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Cagliari October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.16 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 44.7% / X 30.2% / Cagliari 25.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 14 books · best price +3.3%
1 44.8%
X 30.3%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 10:30 UTC
Market 1 44.8% @ 2.13 / X 30.2% @ 3.16 / 2 25.1% @ 3.80
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Match center

Udinese - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
X 3.22 31.1%
4.00 25.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Udinese
L L W W D
28.09 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Udinese 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
20.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Udinese 0:3 MilanMilan
14.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Udinese 1:0 PisaPisa
31.08 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Udinese 2:1 InterInter
25.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Udinese 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Cagliari
L W W L D
27.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 0:2 InterInter
19.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 2:1 LechcheLechche
13.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 2:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
30.08 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 0:1 NapoliNapoli
24.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Udinese - Cagliari

Udinese
2 matches total
Cagliari
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Udineze 2:0 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 03.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Udineze
2:1
Kalyari
25.10 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Udineze
2:0
Kalyari

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Udinese vs Cagliari?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Udinese. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Udinese vs Cagliari?

Live odds for Udinese vs Cagliari from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Udinese vs Cagliari start?

October 5, 2025.