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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
30.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings

Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21

Football
Cuba U21
Cuba U21
1 : 0
Finished
C
Costa Rica U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Costa Rica U21 — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Costa Rica U21): model 33% · market 34% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Cuba U2123.1%
X · draw23.5%
2 · Costa Rica U2153.4%

Model estimate: win Cuba U21 23.1%, draw 23.5%, win Costa Rica U21 53.4%. Model favourite — Costa Rica U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Costa Rica U21 (odds1.95) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Costa Rica U23: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cuba U21.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cuba U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.50 / 2 1.67
  • Glicko: Cuba U21 23.1% / X 23.5% / Costa Rica U21 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 74.3%
1 56.8%
X 8.8%
2 34.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 4.15 → 4.15
1X2 X 3.80 → 3.80
1X2 2 1.65 → 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cuba U21 0 : 0 Costa Rica U21

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 53.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.932 / LogLoss 1.466
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 53.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.932 / LogLoss 1.466
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cuba U21 21.7% 23.1%
Draw 23.6% 23.5% draw risk
Costa Rica U21 54.7% 53.4% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.1% / 23.5% / 53.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Cuba U21 / Costa Rica U21
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
X 6.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 23.1%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 76.5%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 46.6%
X2 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +630.6% · model 76.9%
Handicap
2 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.07 93.5%
yes 6.50 15.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.07 93.5%
1x 2.00 50.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.17 85.5% 9.50 10.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.65 60.6% 1.07 93.5%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 10.50 9.5%
— 11.50 8.7%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 6.50 15.4%
— 11.00 9.1%
— 6.30 15.9%
— 7.20 13.9%
— 10.00 10.0%
2.10 47.6% 2.40 41.7%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 0.5 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 — 11.00 9.1%
Over 2 — 8.50 11.8%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 10.00 10.0%
Over 3 — 4.50 22.2%
Over 3.5 — 12.00 8.3%
Over 4 — 3.80 26.3%
Over 4.5 — 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 — 4.90 20.4%
Under 1 — 3.75 26.7%
Under 1.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Under 2 — 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 1.02 98.0%
Under 3 — 1.15 87.0%
Under 3.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCuba U21 - Costa Rica U21

Cuba U21
0 matches total
Costa Rica U21
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history