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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings

Dominican Republic U21 - Mexico U21

Football
D
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Finished
Mexico U21
Mexico U21

Dominican Republic U21 face Mexico U21 on August 1, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dominican Republic U21 1-1-0, Mexico U21 2-1-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dominican Republic U21 — 54%

1 · Dominican Republic U2153.5%
X · draw19.8%
2 · Mexico U2126.7%

Model estimate: win Dominican Republic U21 53.5%, draw 19.8%, win Mexico U21 26.7%. Model favourite — Dominican Republic U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dominican Republic U21 (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Dominican Republic U23: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dominican Republic U21 - Mexico U21 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Dominican Republic U21 53.5% / X 19.8% / Mexico U21 26.7%

SStats data

Statistics and model

CAC Games
League table
Dominican Republic U21
#33 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
Mexico U21
#13 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
Best price across 6 books
1 1.22 Bet365
X 5.95 Marathonbet
2 13.25 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dominican Republic U21 1 : 0 Mexico U21
118.50
X7.40
21.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Dominican Republic U21 - Mexico U21

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.002 / LogLoss 1.621
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.002 / LogLoss 1.621
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dominican Republic U21 5.4% 53.5% Glicko contrarian
Draw 15.0% 19.8% draw risk
Mexico U21 79.6% 26.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.5% / 19.8% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,519 / 1,481 Dominican Republic U21 / Mexico U21
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-2,101 / 899-2,063 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 26.7%
X 1.18 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 4.00 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.2%
1X 1.15 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.3%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 46.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 4.00 25.0%
1x 4.50 22.2% 1.15 87.0%
x2 — 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.11 90.1%
1.54 64.9% 1.01 99.0%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 7.00 14.3%
— 10.50 9.5%
— 5.70 17.5%
— 11.50 8.7%
— 11.50 8.7%
— 5.10 19.6%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 1.05 95.2%
— 1.01 99.0%
2.30 43.5% —
— 1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 0.5 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 2 — 3.20 31.3%
Over 2.5 1.63 61.4% 6.90 14.5%
Over 3 — 9.50 10.5%
Over 3.5 — 11.00 9.1%
Over 4 — 2.90 34.5%
Over 4.5 — 10.50 9.5%
Over 5.5 — 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 — 7.20 13.9%
Under 1.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 2 — 1.28 78.1%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 1.06 94.3%
Under 3 — 1.02 98.0%
Under 3.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Under 4 — 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Dominican Republic U21
W
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Dominican Republic U21 Guatemala U21 0:1 Dominican Republic U21
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Mexico U21
W D L L W
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Mexico U21 1:0 Venezuela U21 Mexico U21
2018-07-26 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Haiti 1:1 Mexico U21 Mexico U21
2018-07-24 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Mexico U21 0:1 El Salvador Mexico U21
2018-07-22 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Mexico U21 1:2 Venezuela U21 Mexico U21
2014-05-29 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group A
China 0:1 Mexico U21 Mexico U21
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points