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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings

Venezuela U21 - Guatemala U21

Football
Venezuela U21
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Finished
Guatemala U21
Guatemala U21

Venezuela U21 take on Guatemala U21 on August 1, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Venezuela U21 3-0-2, Guatemala U21 0-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Venezuela U2154%

1 · Venezuela U2153.5%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Guatemala U2126.7%

Model estimate: win Venezuela U21 53.5%, draw 19.7%, win Guatemala U21 26.7%. Model favourite — Venezuela U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Venezuela U21 (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Venezuela U23: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venezuela U21 - Guatemala U21 August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Venezuela U21.

Line favourite Fonbet: Venezuela U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 7.10 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Venezuela U21 53.5% / X 19.7% / Guatemala U21 26.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.7%
1 80.7%
X 12.5%
2 6.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga MX U21
League table
Venezuela U21
#54 ptsGP 21-1-03:2
Guatemala U21
#35 ptsGP 31-2-04:3
Best price across 8 books
1 3.26 1xBet
X 3.50 Betfair
2 2.10 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Venezuela U21
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.81 Conceded 0.97 xG 1.21 xGA 1.22
Guatemala U21
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.94 Conceded 0.97 xG 1.58 xGA 1.10

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Venezuela U21
Rating 1550 xG 1.06 Win 27%
Guatemala U21
Rating 1598 xG 1.50 Win 47%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Venezuela U21 1 : 0 Guatemala U21
11.20
X6.00
213.30

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 80.7% @ 1.10 / X 12.5% @ 7.10 / 2 6.8% @ 13.00
Match center

Venezuela U21 - Guatemala U21

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.5% fact: home hit / ROI 21.0% / Brier 0.326 / LogLoss 0.625
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.5% fact: home hit / ROI 21.0% / Brier 0.326 / LogLoss 0.625
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Venezuela U21 75.7% 53.5% market and model agree
Draw 17.3% 19.7% draw risk
Guatemala U21 7.0% 26.7%
xG - 1.06 : 1.50
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.5% / 19.7% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,519 / 1,481 Venezuela U21 / Guatemala U21
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-2,101 / 899-2,063 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 80.3%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.3%
X2 5.40 Fonbet · weak value +151.0% · model 46.5%
Handicap
2 -1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.52 65.8%
yes 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 3.80 26.3% 5.40 18.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
1.68 59.5% 1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
3.95 25.3%
10.50 9.5%
11.50 8.7%
2.05 48.8%
3.10 32.3%
12.00 8.3%
5.70 17.5%
1.19 84.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.03 97.1%
12.00 8.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 2 1.45 69.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.12 89.3%
Over 3 1.20 83.3%
Over 3.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 4 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 7.70 13.0%
Over 5 7.90 12.7%
Over 5.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 6.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 7.80 12.8%
Under 1.5 6.10 16.4%
Under 2 2.50 40.0%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 5.00 20.0%
Under 3 3.85 26.0%
Match center
Venezuela U21
L L W W W
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Venezuela U21 Mexico U21 1:0 Venezuela U21
2018-08-01 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Venezuela U21 Colombia U20 2:1 Venezuela U21
2018-07-28 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21 1:0 Honduras
2018-07-25 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21 3:0 El Salvador
2018-07-23 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21 2:0 Haiti
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Guatemala U21
L
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Guatemala U21 0:1 Dominican Republic U21 Guatemala U21
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points