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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings

Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva)

Football
O
Olimpiya (Gon)
1 : 1
Finished
D
Deportivo Misko (Gva)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Olimpiya (Gon) — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Olimpiya (Gon)): model 34% · market 57% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Olimpiya (Gon)54.4%
X · draw22.7%
2 · Deportivo Misko (Gva)22.9%

Model estimate: win Olimpiya (Gon) 54.4%, draw 22.7%, win Deportivo Misko (Gva) 22.9%. Model favourite — Olimpiya (Gon).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportivo Misko (Gva) (odds1.32) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.68) ✗ Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.60) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.05→1.32 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Deportivo Misko (Gva): probability 50% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.68)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.60).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva) July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olimpiya (Gon).

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpiya (Gon). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.58 / X 3.95 / 2 4.50
  • Glicko: Olimpiya (Gon) 54.4% / X 22.7% / Deportivo Misko (Gva) 22.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 57.1%
X 22.8%
2 20.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.60 ↓ 1.58
1X2 X 3.95 → 3.95
1X2 2 1.05 ↑ 4.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva)

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.947 / LogLoss 1.484
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.947 / LogLoss 1.484
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olimpiya (Gon) 55.7% 54.4% market and model agree
Draw 22.7% 22.7% draw risk
Deportivo Misko (Gva) 21.6% 22.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.4% / 22.7% / 22.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,301 / 1,500 Olimpiya (Gon) / Deportivo Misko (Gva)
RD 292 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 717-1,884 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 22.9%
X 3.95 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.58 Fonbet · no value · model 54.4%
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
1X 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 77.1%
X2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.14 46.7%
X 2.19 45.7%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.75 57.1%
Under 1 1.96 51.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Olimpiya (Gon)DLDDWWWDWW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 1 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.6 (Pari) · X 3.9 (Pari) · 2 4.4 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.6 3.9 4.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Olimpiya (Gon)
L
11.07 21:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Olimpiya (Gon) 0:3 Khyuston Dinamo 🇺🇸Khyuston Dinamo 🇺🇸
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points