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ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings
ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished

ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings

Tranent - Cowdenbeath

Football
T
Tranent
1 : 0
Finished
C
Cowdenbeath
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tranent — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Tranent): model 57% · market 62% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Tranent ✓ Pick61.0%
market62%
X · draw21.3%
market21%
2 · Cowdenbeath17.7%
market17%

Model estimate: win Tranent 61.0%, draw 21.3%, win Cowdenbeath 17.7%. Model favourite — Tranent.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tranent (odds1.71) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Tranent: probability 61% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tranent - Cowdenbeath July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tranent.

Line favourite market consensus: Tranent. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.40 / 2 5.40
  • Glicko: Tranent 61.0% / X 21.3% / Cowdenbeath 17.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 ✓ Pick 61.6%
X 21.1%
2 17.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center

Tranent - Cowdenbeath

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.0% fact: home hit / ROI 51.0% / Brier 0.229 / LogLoss 0.494
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.0% fact: home hit / ROI 51.0% / Brier 0.229 / LogLoss 0.494
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tranent 61.3% 61.0% market and model agree
Draw 21.4% 21.3% draw risk
Cowdenbeath 17.3% 17.7%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.0% / 21.3% / 17.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,374 Tranent / Cowdenbeath
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,044-2,208 / 792-1,956 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.25 market consensus · no value · model 17.7%
X 4.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 61.0%
Double chance
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.7%
1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.3%
X2 2.50 market consensus · no value · model 39.0%
Handicap
2 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.12 89.3%
x2 2.50 40.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.01 49.8%
X 2.32 43.1%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Tranent
W
25.07 12:00 UTC ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings
Tranent 2:1 Boness Yunayted
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Cowdenbeath
L
25.07 12:00 UTC ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings
Cowdenbeath 0:1 Gala Feyridin
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTranent - Cowdenbeath

Tranent
0 matches total
Cowdenbeath
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history