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Solomon islands. S-League
Solomon islands. S-League
29.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Solomon islands. S-League

Jeju United - Hwaseong

Football
J
Jeju United
3 : 3
Finished
Hwaseong
Hwaseong
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Jeju United — 54%

1 · Jeju United53.7%
X · draw19.1%
2 · Hwaseong27.2%

Model estimate: win Jeju United 53.7%, draw 19.1%, win Hwaseong 27.2%. Model favourite — Jeju United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jeju United (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Chedzhu: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jeju United - Hwaseong July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / X 1.04 / 2 4.79
  • Glicko: Jeju United 53.7% / X 19.1% / Hwaseong 27.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.1%
1 7.2%
X 76.2%
2 16.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

FA Cup
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Jeju United
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.24 Conceded 1.22 xG 1.37 xGA 1.11
Hwaseong
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.67 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.38 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Jeju United - Hwaseong

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.017 / LogLoss 1.656
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.017 / LogLoss 1.656
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jeju United 55.8% 53.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.2% 19.1% draw risk
Hwaseong 19.0% 27.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.7% / 19.1% / 27.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,673 / 1,642 Jeju United / Hwaseong
RD 250 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,173-2,173 / 1,301-1,983 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.79 market consensus · no value · model 27.2%
X 1.04 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 53.7%
Double chance
12 6.80 Fonbet · weak value +450.2% · model 80.9%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 72.8%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.95 33.9% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.33 75.2% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 6.80 14.7%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.20 45.5%
X 2.14 46.7%
5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.78 56.2%
Under 1 1.94 51.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 6.0 gls
2026-07-29 · Chedzhu Yunayted 3:3 Khvason
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.76 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.6 (Liga Stavok) · 2 4.1 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.74 3.55 4.1
Liga Stavok 1.76 3.6 4.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Jeju United
L D W D
26.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
Jeju United 1:5 Gvangyu
21.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
Jeju United 0:0 KanvonKanvon
18.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
Jeju United 2:1 Pkhokhan StilersPkhokhan Stilers
05.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
Jeju United 1:1 Kimchkhon SanmuKimchkhon Sanmu
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Hwaseong
W
15.07 08:00 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Hwaseong 4:3 YanpkhenYanpkhen
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJeju United - Hwaseong

Jeju United
0 matches total
Hwaseong
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history