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Solomon islands. S-League
Solomon islands. S-League
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Solomon islands. S-League

FC Gwangju - Cheonan City

Football
F
FC Gwangju
1 : 2
Finished
Cheonan City
Cheonan City
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 FC Gwangju — 33%

Pure model vs market (1 · FC Gwangju): model 42% · market 15% Δ +27 pp model estimates above the market

1 · FC Gwangju33.4%
X · draw50.1%
2 · Cheonan City16.5%

Model estimate: win FC Gwangju 33.4%, draw 50.1%, win Cheonan City 16.5%. Model favourite — FC Gwangju.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC Gwangju (odds1.75) Score 1:0 Under 3.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Gvangyu: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 3.5 (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Gwangju - Cheonan City July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.20 / X 1.18 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: FC Gwangju 33.4% / X 50.1% / Cheonan City 16.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 14.9%
X 78.1%
2 7.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.75 ↑ 6.20
1X2 X 4.15 ↓ 1.18
1X2 2 3.95 ↑ 13.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FC Gwangju 1 : 2 Cheonan City
11.82
X3.60
23.68

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

FC Gwangju - Cheonan City

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit the draw is not published yet: the draw model is being refined Data: line, form, table draw - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.058 / LogLoss 1.798
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit the draw is not published yet: the draw model is being refined Data: line, form, table draw - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.058 / LogLoss 1.798
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Gwangju 32.8% 33.4% market and model agree
Draw 51.9% 50.1% draw risk
Cheonan City 15.3% 16.5%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.4% / 50.1% / 16.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,377 / 1,422 FC Gwangju / Cheonan City
RD 198 / 158 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 982-1,772 / 1,106-1,739 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.85 market consensus · no value · model 16.5%
X 1.18 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.20 Fonbet · no value · model 33.4%
Double chance
12 4.30 Fonbet · weak value +114.5% · model 49.9%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 83.5%
X2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
Handicap
2 -1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 5.80 17.2% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.09 91.7% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.30 23.3%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.10 90.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.37 42.2%
X 2.20 45.5%
4.28 23.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Under 1 1.99 50.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-3, avg 2.75 gls
2026-07-25 · Shankhay Tszyadin 1:2 Guandun GTs-Pauer
2026-03-14 · Shankhay Tszyadin 0:2 Guandun GTs-Pauer
2025-09-27 · Shankhay Tszyadin 2:2 Guandun GTs-Pauer
2025-05-17 · Shankhay Tszyadin 0:2 Guandun GTs-Pauer
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.6 (Pari) · X 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 2.06 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.6 3.2 1.92
Winline 3.5 3.15 2.06
Fonbet 3.6 3.2 1.92
Betcity 3.6 3.3 2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
FC Gwangju
W D D L D
26.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
FC Gwangju 5:1 Chedzhu
22.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
FC Gwangju 1:1 Kimchkhon SanmuKimchkhon Sanmu
19.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
FC Gwangju 1:1 Anyang
11.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
FC Gwangju 0:3 Pkhokhan StilersPkhokhan Stilers
05.07 08:30 UTC+0 South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings
FC Gwangju 1:1 Ulsan
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Cheonan City
W
15.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Cheonan City 2:1 MokpoMokpo
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Gwangju - Cheonan City

FC Gwangju
0 matches total
Cheonan City
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history