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South Korea. K League 2
South Korea. K League 2
02.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

South Korea. K League 2

Ansan Greeners - Gimhae City

Football
Ansan Greeners
Ansan Greeners
1 : 2
Finished
Gimhae City
Gimhae City

Ansan Greeners go head-to-head with Gimhae City on August 2, 2026 in the South Korea. K League 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ansan Greeners 2-0-3, Gimhae City 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Gimhae City the favourite at about 40%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Gimhae City40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Gimhae City): model 44% · market 40% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Ansan Greeners32.0%
X · draw27.6%
2 · Gimhae City40.4%

Model estimate: win Ansan Greeners 32.0%, draw 27.6%, win Gimhae City 40.4%. Model favourite — Gimhae City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.43) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.43)
  • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ansan Greeners - Gimhae City August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gimhae City.

Strongest: Gimhae City - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 3.26 / 2 2.27
  • 1X2 market: Ansan Greeners 31.8% / X 28.0% / Gimhae City 40.2%
  • Glicko: Ansan Greeners 32.0% / X 27.6% / Gimhae City 40.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 31.8%
X 28.0%
2 40.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

K League 2
League table
Ansan Greeners
#1517 ptsGP 185-2-1118:34
Gimhae City
#1710 ptsGP 172-4-1114:34
Best price across 14 books
1 3.05 Dafabet
X 3.45 Dafabet
2 2.43 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ansan Greeners
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 0.80 Conceded 2.10 xG 0.90 xGA 1.78
Gimhae City
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.79 xG 0.96 xGA 1.62

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ansan Greeners
Rating 1328 xG 0.98 Win 28%
Gimhae City
Rating 1316 xG 1.32 Win 45%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ansan Greeners 3 : 1 Gimhae City
12.83
X3.20
22.31

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 31.8% @ 2.87 / X 28.0% @ 3.26 / 2 40.2% @ 2.27
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Gimhae City 40%
💹 Market Gimhae City 4016%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ansan Greeners - Gimhae City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ansan Greeners 31.9% 32.0%
Draw 27.9% 27.6% draw risk
Gimhae City 40.2% 40.4% market and model agree
xG - 0.98 : 1.32
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.0% / 27.6% / 40.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,365 / 1,591 Ansan Greeners / Gimhae City
RD 186 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 994-1,737 / 1,260-1,922 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%
X 5.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.87 market consensus · no value · model 32.0%
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 72.4%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +465.8% · model 59.6%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 68.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.95 33.9% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.60 27.8% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.23 81.3% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 9.50 10.5%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 46.00 2.2%
0_5 101.00 1.0%
1_0 8.00 12.5%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 34.00 2.9%
1_5 81.00 1.2%
2_0 13.00 7.7%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 51.00 2.0%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Ansan Greeners
W L L W L
2026-07-26 K-League 2 2026
Ansan Greeners Paju Frontier 0:1 Ansan Greeners
2026-07-19 K-League 2 2026
Ansan Greeners Gyeongnam 5:0 Ansan Greeners
2026-07-15 Korea Cup 2026
Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0:2 Jinju Citizen
2026-07-11 K-League 2 2026
Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2:1 Suwon Samsung Bluewings
2026-07-04 K-League 2 2026
Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1:3 Suwon City
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Gimhae City
L D W W L
2026-07-29 Korea Cup 2026
Gimhae City 0:1 Seongnam Gimhae City
2026-07-24 K-League 2 2026
Gimhae City 1:1 FC Cheongju Gimhae City
2026-07-15 Korea Cup 2026
Changwon City 1:5 Gimhae City Gimhae City
2026-07-10 K-League 2 2026
Cheonan City 0:1 Gimhae City Gimhae City
2026-07-05 K-League 2 2026
Gimhae City 1:3 Seoul E-Land Gimhae City
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points