Match center
Start
31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished
South Korea. Women. Superleague
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) - Hwacheon KSPO (w)
I
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
0
:
0
Finished
H
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Hwacheon KSPO (w) — 49%
Pure model vs market (2 · Hwacheon KSPO (w)): model 52% · market 68% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) 24.9%, draw 26.6%, win Hwacheon KSPO (w) 48.5%. Model favourite — Hwacheon KSPO (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Hwacheon KSPO (w) (odds1.69)
Score 1:2
confidence 59%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Khvachkhen (Zh): probability 59% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) - Hwacheon KSPO (w) July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hwacheon KSPO (w).
Line favourite Fonbet: Hwacheon KSPO (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / X 6.50 / 2 1.10
- Glicko: Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) 24.9% / X 26.6% / Hwacheon KSPO (w) 48.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 33.3%
1
20.3%
X
11.5%
2
68.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
1
:
2
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
13.54
X3.24
21.96
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) - Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 48.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.836 / LogLoss 1.324
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 48.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.836 / LogLoss 1.324
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
27.0%
26.6%
draw risk
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
48.3%
48.5%
market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
24.9% / 26.6% / 48.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,223 / 1,593
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) / Hwacheon KSPO (w)
RD
246 / 235
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
732-1,714 / 1,123-2,064
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.10
Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%
X
6.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.68
market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
Double chance
12
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 73.4%
1X
5.40
Fonbet · weak value +178.1% · model 51.5%
X2
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 75.1%
Handicap
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 0
2.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.18 84.8% | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 4.10 24.4% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.83 54.6% | 5.40 18.5% |
| x2 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| X | 2.01 49.8% |
| 2.59 38.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
Match center
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
L
L
L
D
W
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Suwon Facilities (w) 4:0 Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) 0:2 Seoul Amazones (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Gyeongju (w) 2:1 Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Mungyeong Sangmu (w) 1:1 Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) 3:2 Changnyeong (w)
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.2
Conceded
4
Points
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
W
D
W
L
W
Hwacheon KSPO (w) 2:0 Mungyeong Sangmu (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Suwon Facilities (w) 0:0 Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w) 5:1 Changnyeong (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w) 1:2 Suwon Facilities (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w) 2:0 Sejon Sportstoto (w)
Hwacheon KSPO (w)
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIncheon Hyundai Steel (w) - Hwacheon KSPO (w)
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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