AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Osasuna. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
31.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Spain: Primera
Osasuna meet Getafe on August 31, 2026 in the Spain: Primera.
Recent form (W-D-L): Osasuna 1-2-2, Getafe 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Osasuna — 51%
Model estimate: win Osasuna 50.9%, draw 19.9%, win Getafe 29.2%. Model favourite — Osasuna.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.30 43.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 2.60 38.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 2 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 3 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| Under 1 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 2 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 3 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
Osasuna
Full head-to-head history: Osasuna - Getafe
The Osasuna - Getafe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 31, 2026.
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