Who is the favourite in Osasuna vs Getafe?

By the PropickAI model, Osasuna is favoured — about 44% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Osasuna vs Getafe?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Osasuna. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Live odds for Osasuna vs Getafe from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Osasuna win probability ~44% best odds 1.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Osasuna. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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Spain: Primera

31.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

31.08.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Spain: Primera

Osasuna vs Getafe — Football prediction

Football

Stadium El-Sadar

Referee Khon Gonsales, Khudit Romano

Osasuna

1 : 0

Finished

Getafe

Osasuna face Getafe in football, in Spain: Primera, on 31 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Osasuna: roughly 44% to win. Sportsbook prices (4 books) put that result at roughly 44%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 31%.

There is little recent-form data for this fixture, so the read leans first on the ratings. On the Glicko scale it is 1582 for Osasuna against 1500 for Getafe - a gap of 82 points. The game is part of Spain: Primera.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 82 Glicko rating points, the model's 44% for Osasuna. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Osasuna — 44%

1 · Osasuna44.2%

X · draw32.7%

2 · Getafe23.1%

Model estimate: win Osasuna 44.2%, draw 32.7%, win Getafe 23.1%. Model favourite — Osasuna.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Osasuna or draw 1.02

Model confidence 81% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Getafe August 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite Fonbet: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 5.70 / 2 4.20
Glicko: Osasuna 44.2% / X 32.7% / Getafe 23.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6% 5 books · best price +2.3%

1 43.8%

X 33.4%

2 22.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 1.50 5 books

Over 1.50 57.0%

Under 1.50 43.0%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.15 → 2.15

1X2 X 3.15 ↓ 2.85

1X2 2 3.80 ↑ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

La Liga

League table

Osasuna

#84 ptsGP 21-1-02:1

Getafe

#133 ptsGP 21-0-11:3

Best price across 13 books

1 2.26 1xBet

X 3.00 1xBet

2 4.33 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Osasuna

W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.35 xG 1.21 xGA 1.27 Corners 5.2

Getafe

W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.03 xG 1.02 xGA 1.08 Corners 4.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

V. Rosier — Hamstring Injury Juanmi — Injury Christantus Uche — Knee Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)

Osasuna

Rating 1518 xG 1.24 Win 43%

Getafe

Rating 1488 xG 0.94 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Osasuna

44%

2.20

Draw

33%

5.70

Getafe

23%

53.00

Handicap

Osasuna (0)

65%

1.47

Getafe (0)

35%

11.50

Total

Over 1.5

49%

14.00

Under 1.5

51%

2.29

Both teams to score

Yes

39%

5.80

61%

1.55

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Osasuna 1 : 1 Getafe

12.34

X2.95

24.03

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

998 predictions Choose an outcome

1 60% 601

X 31% 318

2 7% 79

Match center

Stadium El-Sadar

Start 31.08.2026 17:30 UTC

Market 1 69.9% @ 1.04 / X 12.8% @ 5.70 / 2 17.3% @ 4.20

Referee Khon Gonsales, Khudit Romano

Weather +20°C solnechno

Broadcasts MATCh! Football 2, MEGOGO, Belarus 5 Osasuna

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Osasuna 60%

📐 Math model Osasuna 44%

💹 Market Osasuna 44%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Osasuna - Getafe

Osasuna: win 2.20 Osasuna: draw 2.90 Getafe win: 3.90 Obschiy Total goals Over 1.5: 1.67 Obschiy Total goals Under 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy Total goals Osasuna Over 1.5: 2.75 Individualnyy Total goals Osasuna Under 1.5: 1.40 Individualnyy Total goals Getafe Over 0.5…

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.2% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.817

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.2% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.817

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Osasuna 43.9% 44.2% market and model agree

Draw 33.3% 32.7% draw risk

Getafe 22.7% 23.1%

xG - 1.24 : 0.94

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 44.2% / 32.7% / 23.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,582 / 1,500 Osasuna / Getafe

RD 255 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,072-2,091 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.13 market consensus · no value · model 23.1%

X 5.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 44.2%

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%

1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%

X2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +374.6% · model 55.8%

Handicap

2 -1 1.77 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.70 market consensus · line only

2 0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.09 91.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.52 65.8%
yes	5.80 17.2%	2.32 43.1%	2.32 43.1%	2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.41 70.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.13 88.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%
1x	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.02 98.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%
x2	1.66 60.2%	1.69 59.2%	8.50 11.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.02 33.1%
X	1.83 54.6%
	4.95 20.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.65 60.6%
Under 0.5	2.11 47.4%

Match center

4-4-2 4-2-3-1

1 Serkhio Errera

5 Khorkhe Errando

23 Abel Bretones

24 Alekhandro Katena

27 Inigo Argibide

7 Khon Monkayola

8 Iker Munos

14 Ruben Garsiya 16 Moi Gomes

10 Aymar Oros Uarte

17 Ante Budimir

13 David Soriya

2 Dzhene Dakonam

17 Kiko Femeniya 22 Khoan Mokhika

24 Said Romero

11 Ramon Terrats

16 Franko Grasiya

21 Andres Garsia

23 Orel Mangalya

10 Martin Satriano

19 Enes Unal

Osasuna

Formation 4-4-2

Probable starting lineup

1 SE Serkhio Errera

Serkhio Errera

5 KE Khorkhe Errando

Khorkhe Errando

23 AB Abel Bretones

Abel Bretones

24 AK Alekhandro Katena

Alekhandro Katena

27 IA Inigo Argibide

Inigo Argibide

7 KM Khon Monkayola

Khon Monkayola

8 IM Iker Munos

Iker Munos

14 RG Ruben Garsiya

Ruben Garsiya

16 MG Moi Gomes

Moi Gomes

10 AO Aymar Oros Uarte

Aymar Oros Uarte

17 AB Ante Budimir

Ante Budimir

Head coach Luis Migel Ramis

Getafe

Formation 4-2-3-1

Probable starting lineup

13 DS David Soriya

David Soriya

2 DD Dzhene Dakonam

Dzhene Dakonam

17 KF Kiko Femeniya

Kiko Femeniya

22 KM Khoan Mokhika

Khoan Mokhika

24 SR Said Romero

Said Romero

11 RT Ramon Terrats

Ramon Terrats

16 FG Franko Grasiya

Franko Grasiya

21 AG Andres Garsia

Andres Garsia

23 OM Orel Mangalya

Orel Mangalya

10 MS Martin Satriano

Martin Satriano

19 EU Enes Unal

Enes Unal

Head coach Khose Bordalas

Osasuna

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Getafe

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 4-4-2 / 4-2-3-1

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

11 Goals 10

1.1 Per match 1.0

4 Wins 4

2 Draws 2

4 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-1-5, avg 2.78 gls

2026-08-31 · Osasuna 1:0 Khetafe

2026-05-23 · Osasuna 0:1 Khetafe

2025-10-03 · Osasuna 2:1 Khetafe

2025-03-16 · Osasuna 1:2 Khetafe

2024-10-05 · Osasuna 1:1 Khetafe

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.15 (Winline) · X 3.25 (Pari) · 2 3.8 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.12	3.25	3.75
Winline	2.15	3.1	3.5
Fonbet	2.12	3.25	3.75
Betcity	2.12	3.2	3.8
Liga Stavok	2.14	3.2	3.6

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

45% Ball possession 55%

10 Vsego udarov 9

3 Shots on target 1

2 Shots off target 4

8 Udary ot vorot 5

5 Blokirovannye udary 4

10 Shtrafnye 20

1 Corners 3

1 Offsides 2

16 Auty 23

1 Saves 2

17 Fouls 13

5 Cards total 4

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

1 Travmy 0

5 Substitutions 3

Source: ruscore

Osasuna

W D D L L

2026-08-27 LaLiga 26/27

Osasuna Celta 1:2 Osasuna

2026-08-24 LaLiga 26/27

Osasuna Osasuna 0:0 Levante

2026-08-15 General

Osasuna Arenas Getxo 1:1 Osasuna

2026-08-08 General

Osasuna Osasuna 0:2 Al Ain Abu Dhabi

2026-08-05 General

Osasuna Napoli 2:1 Osasuna

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Getafe

L W W L D

2026-08-27 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round

Partizan Beograd 2:1 Getafe Getafe

2026-08-23 LaLiga 26/27

Getafe 1:0 Racing Santander Getafe

2026-08-20 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round

Getafe 3:1 Partizan Beograd Getafe

2026-08-15 LaLiga 26/27

Alaves 3:0 Getafe Getafe

2026-08-08 General

Tottenham 1:1 Getafe Getafe

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Osasuna - Getafe

Osasuna

3 matches total

Getafe

Osasuna: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Getafe: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Getafe 1:0 (2026-05-23) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2025-10-03) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

2026-05-23 LaLiga 26/27

Getafe 1:0 Osasuna

2025-10-03 LaLiga 26/27

Osasuna 2:1 Getafe

2025-03-16 LaLiga 26/27

Osasuna 1:2 Getafe

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Osasuna

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Getafe

Matches in history 54

Biggest draw 2:2

Highest-scoring match 5:2

Primera 34 / 7 / 12 / 15 / 28 / 42

Cup Spain 8 / 4 / 1 / 3 / 11 / 9

Segunda 12 / 5 / 3 / 4 / 15 / 12

Osasuna vs Getafe — Football prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Getafe August 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Model O/U (market-implied)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Osasuna - Getafe

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions