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Sweden: Cup Shvetsii - Qualifying
Sweden: Cup Shvetsii - Qualifying
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden: Cup Shvetsii - Qualifying

Skovde IFK - Yencheping

Football
S
Skovde IFK
1 : 0
Finished
Y
Yencheping
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Yencheping — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Yencheping): model 41% · market 38% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Skovde IFK16.5%
market50%
X · draw23.3%
market12%
2 · Yencheping ✓ Pick60.2%
market38%

Model estimate: win Skovde IFK 16.5%, draw 23.3%, win Yencheping 60.2%. Model favourite — Yencheping.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Yencheping (odds1.49) Score 1:2 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Yencheping: probability 55% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Skovde IFK - Yencheping July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Skovde IFK.

Line favourite Fonbet: Skovde IFK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / X 4.90 / 2 1.56
  • Glicko: Skovde IFK 16.5% / X 23.3% / Yencheping 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 70.7%
1 50.5%
X 12.0%
2 ✓ Pick 37.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Skovde IFK - Yencheping

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 60.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.115 / LogLoss 1.804
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 60.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.115 / LogLoss 1.804
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Skovde IFK 15.2% 16.5%
Draw 23.4% 23.3% draw risk
Yencheping 61.4% 60.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 16.5% / 23.3% / 60.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,421 / 1,577 Skovde IFK / Yencheping
RD 238 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 946-1,897 / 1,077-2,077 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.2%
X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 16.5%
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 76.7%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 39.8%
X2 4.30 Fonbet · weak value +259.2% · model 83.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 2.15 46.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.13 88.5%
1x 2.35 42.6% 2.47 40.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 4.30 23.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.30 18.9%
X 2.66 37.6%
1.98 50.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 1 2.32 43.1%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Skovde IFKWLLLLWWLLW
YenchepingLLWDDWLLLW
H2H 1-0-0, avg 1.0 gls
2026-07-27 · IFK Shevde 1:0 Yenchepings Sedra
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6.2 (Pari) · X 4.1 (Winline) · 2 1.48 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 6.2 3.9 1.45
Winline 5.6 4.1 1.48
Fonbet 6.2 3.9 1.45
Betcity 6 3.9 1.48
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Skovde IFK
L L W
14.06 12:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Skovde IFK 0:3 RosengardRosengard
07.06 12:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Skovde IFK 0:4 Trelleborg
07.06 12:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Second Division - Severnyy Getalend Standings
Skovde IFK 2:0 Karlstad II
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Yencheping
L W
13.06 09:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Yencheping 1:2 Tvakers
06.06 12:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Yencheping 4:1 TrollkhettanTrollkhettan
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySkovde IFK - Yencheping

Skovde IFK
0 matches total
Yencheping
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history