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Ester — Brage

Football 18.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Favourite Ester best odds 2.11

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Sweden. League 1
Sweden. League 1
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. League 1

Ester - Brage

Football
Ester
Ester
3 : 2
Finished
Brage
Brage

Ester face Brage on July 18, 2026 in the Sweden. League 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ester 1-0-0, Brage 0-1-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ester - Brage July 18, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ester. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 4.00 / 2 2.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books · best price +1.9%
1 44.6%
X 23.1%
2 32.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Superettan
League table
Ester
#623 ptsGP 157-2-624:25
WLLWW
Brage
#1216 ptsGP 154-4-728:29
LLWLD
Best price across 14 books
1 2.17 Pinnacle
X 4.02 Pinnacle
2 3.20 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ester
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.49 xGA 1.49 Corners 5.3
Brage
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.81 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.41 xGA 1.51 Corners 5.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ester
Rating 1489
Brage
Rating 1447

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ester 2 : 1 Brage
12.12
X3.84
22.91

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 62.7% @ 1.01 / X 15.8% @ 4.00 / 2 21.5% @ 2.94
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Match center

Ester - Brage

Form 1/3 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.24 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.63 38.0%
yes 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0%
x2 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.52 39.7%
X 2.47 40.5%
3.36 29.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5 1.69 59.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-2, avg 2.83 gls
2026-07-18 · Ester 3:2 IK Brage
2026-02-28 · Ester 4:1 IK Brage
2024-08-04 · Ester 0:2 IK Brage
2024-06-01 · Ester 0:1 IK Brage
2023-10-29 · Ester 1:0 IK Brage
Source: ruscore

Match stats

4 Cards total 3
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 3
Source: ruscore
Ester
W
09.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Ester 3:0 VernamuVernamu
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Brage
L L D
26.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Brage 2:4 FalkenbergFalkenberg
14.06 13:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Brage 2:3 SandvikensSandvikens
09.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Brage 2:2 YungshileYungshile
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Ester - Brage

Ester
0 matches total
Brage
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Ester vs Brage start?

July 18, 2026.