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AI verdict

AI pick Falkenbergs win probability ~46% best odds 2.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Falkenbergs. Full breakdown below.

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Sweden. League 1
Sweden. League 1
21.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
21.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. League 1

Falkenbergs - Helsingborg

Football
Falkenbergs
Falkenbergs
2 : 3
Finished
Helsingborg
Helsingborg

Falkenbergs take on Helsingborg on July 21, 2026 in the Sweden. League 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Falkenbergs 1-1-1, Helsingborg 0-0-1. The market favourite is Falkenbergs at roughly 46%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Falkenbergs - Helsingborg July 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Falkenbergs.

Line favourite market consensus: Falkenbergs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.51 / 2 3.34
  • 1X2 market: Falkenbergs 45.9% / X 26.3% / Helsingborg 27.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 17 books · best price +3.0%
1 45.7%
X 26.2%
2 28.1%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), BetVictor). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Superettan
League table
Falkenbergs
#328 ptsGP 158-4-330:23
LWWDL
Helsingborg
#823 ptsGP 157-2-629:31
WLWWL
Best price across 14 books
1 2.08 Pinnacle
X 3.75 BetVictor
2 3.53 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Falkenbergs
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.41 xGA 1.44 Corners 4.7
Helsingborg
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.80 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.33 xGA 1.43 Corners 5.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Falkenbergs
Rating 1587
Helsingborg
Rating 1455

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Falkenbergs 2 : 2 Helsingborg
12.03
X3.42
23.49

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 27%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X and Over 1.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Qwen updated21.07.2026 16:45 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 26%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X + Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-1
Kimi updated21.07.2026 16:46 UTC
1 45% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 27%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Falkenberg + Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-2-1
GLM 5.2 updated21.07.2026 16:48 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 24%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 42% 31% 27% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X and Over 1.5
Qwen 46% 28% 26% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X + Over 2.5
Kimi 45% 28% 27% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Falkenberg + Over 2.5
GLM 5.2 48% 28% 24% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 46.0% @ 2.01 / X 26.3% @ 3.51 / 2 27.7% @ 3.34
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Falkenbergs 45%
💹 Market Falkenbergs 4589%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Falkenbergs - Helsingborg

Form 3/1 recent games
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.5% fact: away hit / Brier 0.419 / LogLoss 0.682
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.5% fact: away hit / Brier 0.419 / LogLoss 0.682
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.05 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.36 29.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 7.10 14.1%
x2 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 11.00 9.1%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 81.00 1.2%
1_0 8.00 12.5%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 51.00 2.0%
2_5 126.00 0.8%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-2-2, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-21 · Falkenberg 2:3 Khelsingborg
2025-08-16 · Falkenberg 0:0 Khelsingborg
2025-06-14 · Falkenberg 2:2 Khelsingborg
2025-03-16 · Falkenberg 1:2 Khelsingborg
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.02 (Betcity) · X 3.5 (Winline) · 2 3.7 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.98 3.25 3.55
Winline 1.99 3.5 3.35
Fonbet 1.98 3.25 3.55
Betcity 2.02 3.2 3.7
Liga Stavok 2 3.45 3.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Cards total 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 4
Source: ruscore
Falkenbergs
W D L
26.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Falkenbergs 4:2 BrageBrage
14.06 11:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Falkenbergs 1:1 ErebruErebru
09.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Falkenbergs 2:4 SandvikensSandvikens
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Helsingborg
L
31.05 13:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Helsingborg 0:2 NorrchepingNorrcheping
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points

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Frequently asked questions

When does Falkenbergs vs Helsingborg start?

July 21, 2026.