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Sweden. League 1

27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Sweden. League 1

Orebro - Oddevold

Football

Orebro

0 : 0

Finished

Oddevold

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Oddevold — 39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Oddevold): model 37% · market 39% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Orebro34.1%

X · draw27.0%

2 · Oddevold38.9%

Model estimate: win Orebro 34.1%, draw 27.0%, win Oddevold 38.9%. Model favourite — Oddevold.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.40) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.40)
• edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orebro - Oddevold July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oddevold.

Strongest: Oddevold - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 3.37 / 2 2.36
1X2 market: Orebro 33.6% / X 27.4% / Oddevold 39.1%
Glicko: Orebro 34.1% / X 27.0% / Oddevold 38.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%

1 33.6%

X 27.3%

2 39.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Superettan

League table

Orebro

#1415 ptsGP 163-6-713:22

DLLDD

Oddevold

#1021 ptsGP 165-6-528:26

DLDDW

Best price across 13 books

1 2.85 Unibet

X 3.60 Betfair

2 2.45 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Orebro

W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.90 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.22 xGA 1.50 Corners 4.0

Oddevold

W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.50 xGA 1.27 Corners 5.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Orebro

Rating 1398

Oddevold

Rating 1518

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Orebro 1 : 2 Oddevold

12.68

X3.38

22.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Oddevold 39%

💹 Market Oddevold 3910%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Orebro - Oddevold

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.800 / LogLoss 1.309

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.800 / LogLoss 1.309

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Orebro 33.7% 34.1%

Draw 27.3% 27.0% draw risk

Oddevold 39.0% 38.9% market and model agree

1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 34.1% / 27.0% / 38.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,382 / 1,450 Orebro / Oddevold

RD 228 / 214 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 927-1,838 / 1,022-1,878 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.35 market consensus · no value · model 38.9%

X 1.05 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 34.1%

Double chance

12 6.40 Fonbet · weak value +367.1% · model 73.0%

1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 61.1%

X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 65.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 3.90 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.70 37.0%	2.72 36.8%	2.80 35.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.80 35.7%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.38 29.6%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%
	2.40 41.7%	2.41 41.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.37 42.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.01 99.0%	2.28 43.9%
yes	11.50 8.7%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.27 78.7%	6.40 15.6%
1x	1.53 65.4%	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.38 72.5%	1.03 97.1%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	11.00 9.1%
0_1	8.50 11.8%
0_2	11.00 9.1%
0_3	21.00 4.8%
0_4	46.00 2.2%
0_5	101.00 1.0%
1_0	9.00 11.1%
1_1	6.00 16.7%
1_2	7.50 13.3%
1_3	13.00 7.7%
1_4	34.00 2.9%
1_5	81.00 1.2%
2_0	12.00 8.3%
2_1	8.00 12.5%
2_2	10.00 10.0%
2_3	19.00 5.3%
2_4	41.00 2.4%
2_5	101.00 1.0%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-4-2, avg 2.0 gls

2026-07-27 · Erebru 0:0 Oddevold

2026-05-18 · Erebru 1:4 Oddevold

2025-08-01 · Erebru 0:0 Oddevold

2025-05-10 · Erebru 1:2 Oddevold

2024-09-23 · Erebru 0:0 Oddevold

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.65 (Winline) · X 3.5 (Betcity) · 2 2.43 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.6	3.45	2.4
Winline	2.65	3.4	2.4
Fonbet	2.6	3.45	2.4
Betcity	2.6	3.5	2.43
Liga Stavok	2.65	3.4	2.41

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Cards total 1

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

0 Second yellows 0

3 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Orebro

L D L

19.07 11:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Orebro 0:2 Yunayted Nordik

14.06 11:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Orebro 1:1 Falkenberg

31.05 13:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Orebro 2:3 Estersund

0 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Oddevold

L W L

18.07 09:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Oddevold 2:4 Varberg

14.06 09:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Oddevold 2:0 Norrbi

09.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings

Oddevold 1:2 Norrcheping

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.7 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOrebro - Oddevold

Orebro

0 matches total

Oddevold

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Orebro - Oddevold

AI match prediction Orebro - Oddevold July 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Orebro - Oddevold

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Match history