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Sweden. Women. Major League
Sweden. Women. Major League
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. Women. Major League

Hammarby W - Växjö W

Football
H
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Finished
V
Växjö W
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hammarby W76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hammarby W): model 53% · market 78% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hammarby W ✓ Pick76.2%
market78%
X · draw14.5%
market14%
2 · Växjö W9.3%
market8%

Model estimate: win Hammarby W 76.2%, draw 14.5%, win Växjö W 9.3%. Model favourite — Hammarby W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hammarby W - Växjö W July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hammarby W.

Strongest: Hammarby W - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.16 / X 6.54 / 2 10.71
  • 1X2 market: Hammarby W 77.5% / X 13.8% / Växjö W 8.7%
  • Glicko: Hammarby W 76.2% / X 14.5% / Växjö W 9.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 ✓ Pick 77.8%
X 13.8%
2 8.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Damallsvenskan
League table
Hammarby W
#134 ptsGP 1311-1-131:6
ARRAY
Växjö W
#1011 ptsGP 123-2-716:23
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 1.21 Betano
X 7.14 Pinnacle
2 12.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hammarby W
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 2.00 Conceded 0.50 xG 2.18 xGA 0.94 Corners 5.8
Växjö W
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.34 xGA 1.73 Corners 4.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Hammarby W
Rating 1825 xG 2.53 Win 74%
Växjö W
Rating 1478 xG 0.85 Win 10%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hammarby W 4 : 1 Växjö W
11.15
X6.85
211.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 77.8% @ 1.16 / X 13.8% @ 6.54 / 2 8.4% @ 10.71
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Hammarby W 76%
💹 Market Hammarby W 7753%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hammarby W - Växjö W

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 76.2% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.086 / LogLoss 0.272
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 76.2% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.086 / LogLoss 0.272
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 76.2% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.086 / LogLoss 0.272
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 76.2% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.086 / LogLoss 0.272
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hammarby W 77.7% 76.2% market and model agree
Draw 14.0% 14.5% draw risk
Växjö W 8.3% 9.3%
xG - 2.65 : 0.67
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 76.2% / 14.5% / 9.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,703 / 1,540 Hammarby (w) / Vaxjo DFF (Zh)
RD 224 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,254-2,151 / 1,024-2,055 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.14 market consensus · no value · model 9.3%
X 6.54 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 76.2%
Double chance
12 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 85.5%
1X 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 90.7%
X2 4.40 market consensus · no value · model 23.8%
Total
Over 2.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5% 1.18 84.8%
X 6.00 16.7% 6.85 14.6% 6.50 15.4% 6.10 16.4% 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4%
11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 7.50 13.3% 10.00 10.0% 13.00 7.7% 10.50 9.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 4.40 22.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 23.00 4.4%
0_1 34.00 2.9%
0_2 71.00 1.4%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 13.00 7.7%
1_2 29.00 3.5%
1_3 71.00 1.4%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 51.00 2.0%
3_0 7.00 14.3%
3_1 8.00 12.5%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
3_3 46.00 2.2%
4_0 9.00 11.1%
4_1 9.50 10.5%
4_2 19.00 5.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-1, avg 5.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Khammarbyu (Zh) 5:0 Vekshe DFF (Zh)
2025-09-28 · Khammarbyu (Zh) 7:0 Vekshe DFF (Zh)
2025-03-23 · Khammarbyu (Zh) 4:1 Vekshe DFF (Zh)
2024-11-02 · Khammarbyu (Zh) 4:1 Vekshe DFF (Zh)
2024-06-08 · Khammarbyu (Zh) 1:2 Vekshe DFF (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.12 (Winline) · X 7.7 (Betcity) · 2 16.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.11 6.9 15
Winline 1.12 7.2 15
Fonbet 1.12 6.8 14
Betcity 1.1 7.7 16.5
Liga Stavok 1.12 7.4 16
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hammarby W
W L W
25.07 12:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Hammarby W 4:0 Norrcheping (Zh)
13.06 11:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Hammarby W 0:1 Khekken (Zh)
31.05 10:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Hammarby W 2:1 Vittse (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Växjö W
W L
13.06 12:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Växjö W 4:0 Uppsala (Zh)
31.05 11:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Växjö W 0:3 Malme (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHammarby W - Växjö W

Hammarby W
0 matches total
Växjö W
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history