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Sweden. Women. Cup. Qualification
Sweden. Women. Cup. Qualification
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. Women. Cup. Qualification

Lunds SK (w) - Trelleborgs (w)

Football
L
Lunds SK (w)
1 : 3
Finished
T
Trelleborgs (w)

Lunds SK (w) go head-to-head with Trelleborgs (w) on August 4, 2026 in the Sweden. Women. Cup. Qualification.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Trelleborgs (w) — 52%

1 · Lunds SK (w)28.4%
X · draw19.2%
2 · Trelleborgs (w)52.3%

Model estimate: win Lunds SK (w) 28.4%, draw 19.2%, win Trelleborgs (w) 52.3%. Model favourite — Trelleborgs (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Trelleborgs (w) (odds2.31) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Trelleborg (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lunds SK (w) - Trelleborgs (w) August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Lunds SK (w) 28.4% / X 19.2% / Trelleborgs (w) 52.3%

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lunds SK (w) 2 : 2 Trelleborgs (w)
14.47
X3.72
21.65

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Lunds SK (w) - Trelleborgs (w)

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lunds SK (w) - 28.4%
Draw - 19.2% draw risk
Trelleborgs (w) - 52.3% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.4% / 19.2% / 52.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,724 Lunds SK (w) / Trelleborgs (w)
RD 350 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,225-2,223 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 52.3%
Double chance
1X 7.70 Fonbet · weak value +267.0% · model 47.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
1x 7.70 13.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.97 50.8%
1.37 73.0%
1.27 78.7%
1.16 86.2%
2.08 48.1%
1.73 57.8%
2.85 35.1%
3.40 29.4%
4.50 22.2%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 4.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 5.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 6.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 2.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 4.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 5.5 1.37 73.0%
Under 6.5 1.23 81.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Trelleborgs (w)
W W
25.07 11:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Elitettan - Women Standings
Trelleborgs (w) 1:0 Linkepings (Zh)
14.06 10:00 UTC+0 Sweden: Elitettan - Women Standings
Trelleborgs (w) 2:1 Orebro SK (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points