Switzerland. Challenge League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Winterthur — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Winterthur): model 37% · market 12% Δ +25 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Kriens 28.0%, draw 25.4%, win Winterthur 46.6%. Model favourite — Winterthur.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kriens.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.88 53.2% | 2.38 42.0% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.71 58.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 2.55 39.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.71 27.0% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 2.43 41.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.16 46.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.95 | 3.7 | 2.05 |
| Winline | 2.9 | 3.75 | 2.09 |
| Fonbet | 2.95 | 3.7 | 2.05 |
| Betcity | 3 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
Winterthur
Full head-to-head historyKriens - Winterthur
The Kriens - Winterthur breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
