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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
21.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Aarhus - Lech Poznan

World Football
Aarhus
Aarhus
1 : 4
Finished
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aarhus - Lech Poznan July 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lech Poznan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.26 / X 6.60 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 47.1%
1 30.1%
X 10.3%
2 59.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
Best price across 13 books
1 2.38 BetVictor
X 3.30 BetVictor
2 3.70 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Aarhus 2 : 2 Lech Poznan
12.32
X3.24
23.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude

Google AI updated21.07.2026 18:39 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 29%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Qwen updated21.07.2026 18:42 UTC
1 43% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 27%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X (Orkhus ne proigraet)
Kimi updated21.07.2026 18:45 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 34%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data Injuries:Jønsson, Tchamche, Gyamfi (Aarhus); Gholizadeh, Jakóbczyk (Lech)
GLM 5.2 updated21.07.2026 18:46 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 27%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 40% 31% 29% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X
Qwen 43% 30% 27% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes 1X (Orkhus ne proigraet)
Kimi 38% 28% 34% 1:1 Under 2.5 No 1X
GLM 5.2 42% 31% 27% 1:1 Under 2.5 No 1X

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Aarhus - Lech Poznan

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.6% fact: away hit / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.568
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.6% fact: away hit / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.568
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
X 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.18 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 1.87 53.5%
yes 3.15 31.8% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 4.90 20.4%
x2 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.85 35.1%
X 2.07 48.3%
4.05 24.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.85 54.1%
Under 1 1.89 52.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 5.0 gls
2026-07-21 · Orkhus 1:4 Lekh
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.25 (Winline) · X 3.35 (Liga Stavok) · 2 3.65 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.1 3.15 3.65
Winline 2.25 3.2 3.1
Fonbet 2.1 3.15 3.65
Betcity 2.12 3.2 3.6
Liga Stavok 2.23 3.35 3.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Cards total 2
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Lech Poznan
D L W W
12.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
06.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:3 FK Crvena Zvezda
30.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:0 BreidablikBreidablik
22.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 7:1 BreidablikBreidablik
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAarhus - Lech Poznan

Aarhus
0 matches total
Lech Poznan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history