Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
25.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Ajax - Benfica

World Football
Ajax
Ajax
0 : 2
Finished
Benfica
Benfica

Ajax face Benfica on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ajax 0-0-4, Benfica 1-0-4. Sportsbooks lean towards Benfica, an implied 46% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ajax - Benfica November 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benfica.

Line favourite market consensus: Benfica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.46 / X 3.62 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Ajax 27.6% / X 26.4% / Benfica 46.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 27.6%
X 26.4%
2 46.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 25.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 27.6% @ 3.46 / X 26.4% @ 3.62 / 2 46.0% @ 2.08
Match center

Ajax - Benfica

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 3.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.78 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.34 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
2.02 49.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.46 40.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.77 56.5%
Over 2.75 1.83 54.6%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% 2.13 47.0%
Under 2.75 2.07 48.3%
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Ajax
L L L L
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 0:3 GalatasarayGalatasaray
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 1:5 ChelseaChelsea
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 0:2 InterInter
0 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.3 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0 Points
Benfica
L L L L W
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 0:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 0:3 NyukaslNyukasl
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 2:3 QarabagQarabag
27.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 1:0 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAjax - Benfica

Ajax
0 matches total
Benfica
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history