UEFA Champions League
Ajax - Benfica
Ajax face Benfica on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ajax 0-0-4, Benfica 1-0-4. Sportsbooks lean towards Benfica, an implied 46% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ajax - Benfica November 25, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benfica.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.46 / X 3.62 / 2 2.08
- 1X2 market: Ajax 27.6% / X 26.4% / Benfica 46.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Ajax - Benfica
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.55 28.2% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.02 49.5% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.46 40.7% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.79 55.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.13 47.0% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyAjax - Benfica
Match history
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