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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Ajax - Galatasaray

World Football
Ajax
Ajax
0 : 3
Finished
Galatasaray
Galatasaray

Ajax take on Galatasaray on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ajax 0-0-3, Galatasaray 2-0-1. The market favourite is Galatasaray at roughly 44%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ajax - Galatasaray November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galatasaray.

Line favourite market consensus: Galatasaray. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.82 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: Ajax 30.7% / X 25.0% / Galatasaray 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 30.7%
X 24.9%
2 44.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 30.7% @ 3.10 / X 24.9% @ 3.82 / 2 44.3% @ 2.15
Match center

Ajax - Galatasaray

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 3.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.01 24.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.80 35.7% 2.95 33.9% 2.73 36.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.69 37.2% 2.96 33.8%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 3.25 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.25 1.96 51.0%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6%
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Ajax
L L L
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 1:5 ChelseaChelsea
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 0:4 MarseilleMarseille
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ajax 0:2 InterInter
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
3.7 Conceded
0 Points
Galatasaray
W W L
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 3:1 Bodo/Glimt
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 1:0 LiverpulLiverpul
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 1:5 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAjax - Galatasaray

Ajax
0 matches total
Galatasaray
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history