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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Ajax - Olympiakos Piraeus
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ajax - Olympiakos Piraeus January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olympiakos Piraeus.
Line favourite market consensus: Olympiakos Piraeus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.53 / 2 2.28
- 1X2 market: Ajax 31.2% / X 27.0% / Olympiakos Piraeus 41.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
31.1%
X
27.0%
2
41.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Ajax - Olympiakos Piraeus
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.28
market consensus · line only
X
3.53
market consensus · line only
1
3.07
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.63
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.27
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.41
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.33
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.57
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | 2.81 35.6% | 3.27 30.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.41 41.5% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.39 71.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.60 62.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
Match center
Ajax
W
W
L
L
L
Ajax
2:1
Villarreal
Villarreal
Ajax
4:2
Qarabag
Qarabag
Ajax
0:2
Benfica
Benfica
Ajax
0:3
Galatasaray
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1:5
Chelsea
Chelsea
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.6
Conceded
6
Points
Olympiakos Piraeus
W
W
L
D
L
Olympiakos Piraeus
2:0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
1:0
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Olympiakos Piraeus
3:4
Real Madrid
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Olympiakos Piraeus
1:1
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Olympiakos Piraeus
1:6
Barselona
Barselona
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAjax - Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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