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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
26.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal - Bayern München

World Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
3 : 1
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Arsenal take on Bayern München on November 26, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 4-0-1, Bayern München 4-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Arsenal, an implied 45% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Bayern München November 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.55 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 45.2% / X 27.0% / Bayern München 27.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 45.3%
X 26.9%
2 27.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 45.3% @ 2.11 / X 26.9% @ 3.55 / 2 27.7% @ 3.45
Match center

Arsenal - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.08 48.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.0 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 2.75 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.90 25.6%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Arsenal
W W W W L
04.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 3:0 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 4:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Bayern München
W W W W D
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 2:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 4:0 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 5:1 PafosPafos
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 2:2 InterInter
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Bayern München

Arsenal
0 matches total
Bayern München
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history