Match center
Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Arsenal - Kairat Almaty
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Kairat Almaty January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.04 / X 18.56 / 2 39.88
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 92.3% / X 5.2% / Kairat Almaty 2.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 79.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
1
92.4%
X
5.2%
2
2.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5
79.2%
Under 2.5
20.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Kairat Almaty
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.04
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
6.80
market consensus · line only
12
1.03
market consensus · line only
1X
1.01
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1
5.50
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.14
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.18
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
4.50
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.41
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.77
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.05 95.2% | |
| X | 15.50 6.5% | 19.00 5.3% | 21.00 4.8% | 17.00 5.9% | 15.00 6.7% | 20.00 5.0% |
| 27.00 3.7% | 41.00 2.4% | 33.00 3.0% | 29.00 3.5% | 41.00 2.4% | 40.00 2.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.43 69.9% |
| yes | 2.65 37.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.74 36.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 11.50 8.7% | 12.00 8.3% | 15.00 6.7% | 13.50 7.4% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.80 14.7% | 11.00 9.1% |
| home_away | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| home_draw | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.00 100.0% | 1.01 99.0% | — | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Over 6.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Under 6.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
Match center
Arsenal
W
W
W
W
W
Arsenal
3:1
Inter
Inter
Arsenal
3:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Arsenal
3:1
Bavariya
Bavariya
Arsenal
3:0
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
Arsenal
4:0
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.2
Scored
0.4
Conceded
15
Points
Kairat Almaty
L
L
L
L
D
Kairat Almaty
1:4
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Kairat Almaty
0:1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kairat Almaty
2:3
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Kairat Almaty
1:2
Inter
Inter
Kairat Almaty
0:0
Pafos
Pafos
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Kairat Almaty
Arsenal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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